ion 's control plausibility judgments 're running experiment okay 're done data okay data 're going interpret data interpret data 's derive implications data many implications derive set propositions oh guess 's combinatorially explosive well one derive well 're going derive ones make sense reasonable stand good reason right right know taken seriously think people pay attention notice 'm showing scientific experimentation right rely plausibility judgments first make sense case yeah makes sense potential infinity limited resources commentary explosive need making judgments along way keep things running normal fashion think could could expand second difference two uses plausibility terms plausibility probably probabilistic 's 's good metric yeah let put way came discussion 've done leo ferraro probability estimation find truth mean probability use plausibility mean probability 're saying probability twice mean 's estimation 'll find truth 's another meaning plausibility take seriously pay attention 's estimation expect find probability plausibility best way estimating 're going turn evidence give us clarity probability use probability right fallible nature science make know make estimations truth found yes